NWS-Milwaukee/Sullivan Forecast Discussion

						FXUS63 KMKX 111213
AFDMKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
613 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Small Craft Advisory continues through 7 AM for gusty
  northwest winds.

- A quiet stretch of weather lies ahead with above normal
  temperatures and a gradual warming trend this week into next
  week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued 613 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Winds have become light and northwesterly, with expectations for
continued northwest flow as high pressure works in. Plenty of
sunlight will allow temperatures to climb into the mid to upper
30s in most areas, with central Wisconsin remaining in the low
30s. By late this afternoon and this evening, expect winds to
become light and variable under high pressure. Lows in the low
30s still expected.

MH

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued 1148 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Overnight through Wednesday Night:

Winds will remain moderate and northwesterly overnight with
intermittent gusts to 20mph as a tight pressure gradient
remains over the region. Winds should generally ease a bit by
daybreak, but will remain modestly breezy throughout the day on
Wednesday. Overnight lows are expected to be in the low 20s.

Otherwise, dry, mild, and sunny conditions are expected
Wednesday as high pressure builds into the region. We'll be on
the northern reaches of a developing upper level ridge over the
plains, and temperatures will range from the low 30s over
Sheboygan and Fond du Lac counties, to near 40 over far
southwest WI.

Lighter winds and clear skies will allow for better radiative
cooling Wednesday night, and lows will dip into the mid to upper
teens over east central and southeast Wisconsin, with 20s
elsewhere.

CMiller

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued 1158 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Thursday through Tuesday:

Chances for light snow in far southwest Wisconsin Thursday
morning have diminished owing to the high pressure bringing dry
air to the region and more nebulous forcing. With this
opportunity for precipitation gone and rain/snow potential from
Saturday night into Sunday trending southward, the extended
looks fairly dry.

An upper level ridge will slowly build over the Plains through
the rest of this week into next week, giving us highs as much
as 10 to 15 degrees above normal by this upcoming weekend and
perhaps even higher next week.

CMiller

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued 613 AM CST Wed Feb 11 2026

Expect light northwesterly winds throughout today, with a few
gusts up to 19 kt near Lake Michigan this afternoon. Winds will
become light and variable to calm overnight under high pressure,
and will remain light through Thursday morning. Winds will turn
southeasterly but will remain light Thursday afternoon.

VFR conditions are expected throughout today, tonight, and
Thursday.

MH

&&

.MARINE...
Issued 1139 PM CST Tue Feb 10 2026

Gusty northwest winds will continue overnight as a sharp
pressure gradient remains over the Upper Great Lakes between a
large low pressure system over Vermont and New Hampshire and
high pressure over the central and northern plains. Winds are
expected to ease over Lake Michigan late Wednesday afternoon and
evening as the center of the high pressure moves closer to the
lake. Winds are then expected to become more northerly Thursday
morning and more light and variable through the day on Thursday
as the high pressure ridge moves over the lake. Light
southwesterly winds then return Friday as the high pressure
center shifts east.

CMiller

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...Small Craft Advisory...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646 until 7 AM
     Wednesday.

&&

$$

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