NWS-Milwaukee/Sullivan Forecast Discussion

						FXUS63 KMKX 071906
AFDMKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
206 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Small chances (15-30%) for light rain for the rest of the
  afternoon. A thunderstorm is possible.

- Frost Advisory is in effect for the entire area from 1 AM
  to 8 AM Friday. Warmer temperatures Friday and Saturday
  with highs in the 60s to near 70.

- Better chance of rain (50-70%) and a few storms late Monday
  night into Tuesday night.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued 205 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Tonight and Friday:

Another cool May afternoon with temperatures mainly in the 50s.
For tonight, skies should clear during the evening, combined
with light winds will allow temperatures to fall into the lower
to middle 30s at most places. Would not be surprised if there
were a few upper 20s over central and south-central WI. A
Frost Advisory has been posted from 1 AM to 8 AM Friday.

Eckberg

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued 205 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Friday night through Thursday:

Some moderation in temperatures are expected Friday and Saturday
with temperatures closer to normal for this time of year with
readings in the 60s to near 70. There is still a chance of
showers on Saturday, although the models diverge on what part of
the state would see the highest chances of rain. Behind the
system on Saturday, gusty west to northwest winds are expected
which will usher in cooler temperatures for Sunday and Monday.
It is possible that some of the area would see frost again
Sunday night, prompting another night of Frost Advisories. The
next significant chance (50-70%) of rain arrives late Monday
night and continues into Tuesday evening. It appears by the
middle of next week, temperatures should be at or slightly above
normal

Eckberg
WFO MKX

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued 1233 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Isolated to scattered showers are expected to move across
portions of the area this afternoon, although conditions should
be mainly in the VFR category despite the rainfall. Skies will
become mostly clear this evening with mid and high clouds
expected to increase again late tonight into Friday morning.
Frost is again likely, especially away from Lake Michigan
tonight into early Friday morning. For KMKE, lake breeze already
arrived and should remain southeast for the rest of the
afternoon. Winds across the entire area go light and variable
tonight with southerly winds increasing Friday morning.

Eckberg

.MARINE...
Issued 205 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Weak high pressure of 29.9 inches will move away from the area
tonight with light and variable winds expected. Southerly winds
will increase on Friday from 10 to 20 knots at times. A weak
cold front will drop southeast across the area late Friday night
and Saturday that may bring increasing west to northwest winds.
A 30.20 mb high across the northern plains will build into the
western Great Lakes on Sunday into Monday.

Eckberg

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued 205 PM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Low humidity readings are expected on Friday afternoon, although
winds will be fairly light. Will need to watch Saturday for low
humidity and gusty west to northwest winds of 20 to 30 mph

WFO MKX

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Frost Advisory...WIZ046-WIZ047-WIZ051-WIZ052-WIZ056-WIZ057-
     WIZ058-WIZ059-WIZ060-WIZ062-WIZ063-WIZ064-WIZ065-WIZ066-
     WIZ067-WIZ068-WIZ069-WIZ070-WIZ071-WIZ072...1 AM Friday
     to 8 AM Friday.

LM...None.
&&

$$

Visit us at weather.gov/milwaukee

Follow us on Facebook, X, and YouTube at:
www.facebook.com/NWSMilwaukee
www.x.com/NWSMilwaukee
www.youtube.com/NWSMilwaukee