WEEKLY CLIMATE NEWS

DataStreme ECS WEEK TWO: 14-18 September 2009


ITEMS OF INTEREST --

CURRENT CLIMATE MONITORING

CLIMATE FORCING

CLIMATE AND THE BIOSPHERE

CLIMATE FORECASTS

PALEOCLIMATE RECONSTRUCTION

CLIMATE AND SOCIETY


Concept of the Week: Arctic Sea Ice Cover Approaching Tipping Point?

A tipping point is a threshold in a system when some new and perhaps irreversible development takes place. Some scientists propose that the Arctic sea ice cover is approaching a tipping point and will soon disappear in summer. Since about 47.5 million years ago, the climate of northern latitudes has been cold enough to support an ice cover on the Arctic Ocean albeit with seasonal and long-term variations in extent. Beginning in the 1950s, measurements from ships and aircraft detected shrinkage in the summer minimum extent of ice whereas the winter maximum remained nearly constant. By the mid-1970s, surveillance by satellites and submarines found that the winter maximum extent of ice was also declining. In 2007, the extent of end-of-summer sea ice cover reached a record low.

Shrinkage of Arctic sea ice cover is likely to trigger a feedback mechanism that will accelerate melting of sea ice and amplify warming of the Arctic region. Sea ice insulates the overlying air from warmer sea water and reflects much more incident solar radiation than ocean water. As sea ice cover shrinks, the greater area of ice-free ocean waters absorbs more solar radiation, sea-surface temperatures rise, and more ice melts-an example of positive feedback.

With the decline of Arctic sea ice cover to record or near record summer minima, some scientists speculate that Arctic ice may be approaching its tipping point, that is, a complete loss of summer ice may be imminent.

Concept of the Week: Questions

(Each week you will be asked to respond to two questions relating to that week's Concept of the Week topic. Place your responses on the Chapter Progress Response Form provided in the Study Guide.)

  1. In the Arctic Ocean, water is [(more)(less)] reflective of solar radiation than floating ice.
  2. The post-1970 shrinkage of Arctic sea-ice cover is likely the result of a [(warming)(cooling)] at northern latitudes.

Historical Events:


Return to DataStreme Atmosphere website

Prepared by Edward J. Hopkins, Ph.D., email hopkins@meteor.wisc.edu
© Copyright, 2009, The American Meteorological Society.