In recent years the levels of Lakes Michigan, Huron, and Superior have dropped to near historic lows in response to weather conditions in their drainage basins. The drop in lake levels has had a serious impact on lake-based activities.
In the Fall of 2000, the Western Great Lakes were at their lowest levels in 35 years—the culmination of the greatest three-year drop in water level since detailed records began in the 1860s. Lakes Michigan and Huron water levels dropped some 100 cm (3.3 ft) over the prior three years. In early December 2000, Lake Superior was at its lowest level for that time of year since 1925 and only 16 cm (6.3 in.) above its historical record low for early winter. At the same time, Lakes Michigan and Huron were at their lowest early winter levels since 1964, some 22 cm (8.7 in.) above the 20th century record low for the date. By contrast, in spite of reduced inflow from the upper lakes, early December 2000 levels of Lakes Erie and Ontario levels were only 10 cm (4 in.) below their long-term early winter averages--thanks in large measure to above average annual precipitation in their drainage basins during 2000. Lake levels continue to run low as of early September 2001.
For a plot of the historical record of lake-level fluctuations of Lakes Michigan and Huron since 1860, click on http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/data/now/wlevels/lowlevels/plot/5014.pdf (Adobe Acrobat required). The total range of lake-level variation during the 20th century was about 1.9 m (6.2 ft).
Low lake levels have many economic, societal, and environmental consequences. Shallower than usual water requires expensive and environmentally damaging dredging to keep shipping channels navigable and ports open. Even with more dredging some channels cannot accommodate the draft of heavily laden freighters. Reduced carrying capacity impedes transport of grain and ore to processing facilities and markets. The Great Lakes supply most of the potable water for communities and cooling water for coal-fired and nuclear electric power plants located along their shores. A drop in water level may require costly repositioning of intake pipes. On the positive side, lower lake levels translate into broader beaches and wetland habitats and a respite from shoreline erosion.
The drop in levels of the Western Great Lakes is a response to weather conditions in their drainage basins. Rainfall, snowfall, and air temperature during winter and spring govern water levels of the Great Lakes in spring and summer. Spring melting of the winter snow pack in the drainage basin is particularly important and air temperature ultimately governs evaporation rates. A succession of mild winters in the late 1990s produced less than the usual snow pack in spring reducing the amount of spring runoff. And higher than usual temperatures increased evaporation of lake-water and streams draining into the lakes.
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Prepared by AMS WES Central Staff and Edward J. Hopkins, Ph.D., email hopkins@meteor.wisc.edu
© Copyright, 2001, The American Meteorological Society.