TORNADO OUTBREAK ACROSS THE SOUTH -- Severe thunderstorms along and ahead of an active cold front spawned tornadoes across the South starting late Wednesday night in Mississippi and continuing through Thursday evening in North Carolina. A tornado caused one fatality, 30 injuries and considerable damage in southern Mississippi approximately 30 miles north of Hattiesburg late Wednesday night. In Georgia, at least 30 injuries were sustained, and extensive damage caused as tornadoes hit Vienna, approximately 50 miles south of Macon and in Meter (approximately 60 miles west of Savannah), where 2 people were injured with several mobile homes destroyed. One or more tornadoes moving across North Carolina caused 1 death and at least 10 injuries south of Fayetteville on Thursday evening. Non-tornadic thunderstorm winds also caused damage across the South. A woman was killed Wednesday night as a tree was blown into her mobile home in west Tennessee near Jackson. By late Thursday night, most of the thunderstorms had either dissipated or moved off the North Carolina coast, where a slight risk of severe thunderstorms continues until after sunrise on Friday.
UNSETTLED WEATHER MOVES ACROSS THE MIDWEST -- Thursday's tornado outbreak was in association with a spring storm that moved slowly toward the northeastward into the Midwest, after having been situated over Arkansas on Wednesday. As of Thursday night, the low pressure center was located over central Illinois, with an occluded front that curved eastward to a point of occlusion situated in western North Carolina. At this triple point, a warm front extended to the east toward Hampton Roads, VA, while a cold front extended southward, crossing out over the central Florida Panhandle into the Gulf of Mexico.
Thunderstorms continued across the Outer Banks of North Carolina in the warm sector between the warm and cold front. A widespread band of precipitation extended from north of the warm front off the New Jersey coast westward to the northwest quadrant of the low over Iowa and Minnesota. Substantial rainfall was reported, with several inches of rain falling between Kansas City and Omaha by Thursday morning. Some snow was reported across Nebraska. The heavy rains have caused numerous rivers to reach flood stage across Missouri, Iowa, Kansas and Nebraska.
Strong winds continued to circulate around the western flank of the storm were the pressure gradient was the strongest. Wind gusts to 50 mph were common across portions of Oklahoma, Kansas and Nebraska. Cold air advection resulted as cold air was transferred into the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley as a result of these northerly winds.
This storm system is expected to continue occluding overnight, with a new secondary low forming at the point of occlusion. The primary low is expected to slowly weaken as it moves toward Lake Michigan by Friday morning. The secondary low is expected to intensify as it moves out to sea along the Middle Atlantic coast. The precipitation shield should continue across a large portion of the Middle Atlantic states, extending westward across the southern Great Lakes to the Mississippi Valley.
HOT WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS FLORIDA -- The lack of rain and the sunny skies across the Sunshine State contributed to another day of record high temperatures and little relief from the serious drought conditions. Record high temperatures were set on Thursday at Melbourne (97 degrees), Orlando (95 degrees), Daytona Beach (94 degrees), West Palm Beach (93 degrees) and Fort Lauderdale (91 degrees). The Melbourne reading also tied the record for the highest April temperature. Some hope for thunderstorms accompanying the cold front that is expected to move southward overnight is tempered by the concern that lightning could touch off wildfires.
A CHANGE IN THE WEST -- Only last week much of the West Coast was experiencing unseasonably cool weather, with some locations having record low temperatures. The presence of a large ridge of high pressure located along the northern Rockies has brought about warm afternoons with some record high temperatures. As of Thursday night, the ridge was centered along an axis that extended from southern British Columbia to southern Colorado. A strong offshore wind flow, together with sunny skies, contributed to record high temperatures in California at Oakland/Downtown (84 degrees) and Downtown San Francisco (84 degrees), Crescent City (81 degrees), Eureka (73 degrees). In Oregon, maximum temperature records were set at Florence (85 degrees), Astoria (77) and Tillamook (76 degree. In Washington State, records were exceeded at Hoquiam (75 degrees), Seattle (74 degrees).
However, to the east of the ridge axis, northerly winds have maintained cool conditions. At Laramie, the temperature only reached 24 degrees, setting a record low maximum temperature for the date. Freeze warnings were posted for western portions of Oklahoma and Kansas for Thursday night.
The ridge of high pressure is expected to remain entrenched over the West into Friday. Wind advisories were posted for strong Santa Ana winds near Cajon Pass in southern California.
UPPER AIR -- The 500 mb constant pressure chart for 00Z Friday shows a large trough of low heights across the Plains. This trough is associated with the surface low pressure over the Mississippi Valley. In particular, the air is cooler in the intervening column from the earth's surface up to the 500 mb surface that is located to the west of the surface low, thereby producing a lower height in the pressure surface. A large height ridge was building along the West Coast as that region begins to warm. A ridge is also found along the East Coast.
The same pattern is reflected in the topography of the 300 mb surface in the upper troposphere. The jet stream at that level shows strong northerly winds with speed exceeding 100 knots over the Rockies, which then become westerly around the base of the trough across the southern Plains.
YESTERDAY'S TEMPERATURE EXTREMES IN THE LOWER 48 -- The lowest temperature on Thursday was 5 degrees at West Yellowstone, MT, while the day's high was 97 degrees at Melbourne, FL.
ALASKAN WEATHER -- A large area of low pressure with several centers was located over the state on Thursday. One low was located over the Seward Peninsula, while the other low was situated just to the south of the Kenai Peninsula. Farther west, a strong storm system moving across the central Bering Sea was accompanied by a front that moved eastward along the central Aleutians. Heavy rain continued across the southeast and through the northern Panhandle, with Yakutat receiving 1.87 inches of rain between midnight and mid afternoon on Thursday. Juneau and Cordova also had over an inch of precipitation. Kotzebue, Wainwright, Iliamna and Saint Paul reported snow.
Farther to the southeast, high pressure across western Canada stretched to the southern tip of the Panhandle. A strong pressure gradient surrounding the storm system in the Bering Sea produced strong winds. Wind gusts along the Aleutians and over the Pribilofs reached 50 mph producing blowing snow, which reduced visibility to 0.25 miles at Cold Bay and the Pribilofs. As a result, a blizzard warning remained in effect for Cold Bay and vicinity, while a winter storm advisory continued for the Pribilofs.
The statewide lowest overnight temperature on Thursday was 15 degrees below zero at Nuiqsut and Ugnu Kuparuk. The highest midafternoon temperature in Alaska was 55 degrees at Annette.
HAWAIIAN WEATHER -- An eastward passing ridge of high pressure to the north of Hawaii maintained moderate trade winds across the islands on Thursday. Sinking motion associated with this ridge over the islands produced nearly cloudless skies over all but Maui and the Big Island. An increased chance of showers is expected by Saturday as a trough of low pressure approaches the islands.
WHAT ELSE IS HAPPENING -- Since the new moon was today (Friday 16 April) at 0422 Z, the first visibility of the new moon on Saturday will initiate the Muslim new year 1420 A.H. Islam's calendar is closely tied to the moon.
From the files of the Aviation Weather Center, Kansas City, MO and Intellicast
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Prepared by Edward J. Hopkins, Ph.D., email hopkins@meteor.wisc.edu
© Copyright, 1999, The American Meteorological Society.